Prediction of barley rust?s detrimental impact
Abstract
Research focused on understanding the dynamics of distribution and progression of spring barley rust. The disease exhibited varying levels of dissemination, ranging from 21.75% to 30.0% throughout the study period, coupled with intensities fluctuating between 13.25% and 19.0%. The impact of the disease on the structural aspects of the spring barley yield was observed, demonstrating a strong correlation (r=0.973, r=0.980, and r=0.973). Additionally, predictive models for estimating crop yield losses due to rust were formulated, enabling the anticipation of potential spring barley harvest reductions resulting from the disease.