Anticipating the adverse effects of barley rust
Abstract
Our research delved into unraveling the dynamics governing the distribution and progression of spring barley rust. Over the course of our study, we witnessed the disease's dissemination fluctuate between 21.75% and 30.0%, accompanied by varying intensities ranging from 13.25% to 19.0%. Furthermore, we meticulously observed how the disease impacted the structural aspects of spring barley yield, revealing a strong correlation with coefficients of r=0.973, r=0.980, and r=0.973. In addition to this, we developed predictive models to estimate potential crop yield losses attributed to rust, thereby allowing us to foresee potential reductions in spring barley harvests caused by this disease.